OFF GRID SURVIVAL BLOG
Monday, February 25, 2013
Silver: perception, correction and backwardation
Silver prices have, since 2008, regularly flirted with a state of backwardation, which can be a sign of growing physical shortages.
Author: Dr. Jeffrey Lewis Posted: Monday , 25 Feb 2013 Silver-coin-investor.com - The price of silver futures contracts have been regularly flirting with a state of backwardation ever since the 2008 Financial Crisis, which is a sign of a growing physical silver shortage. A state of backwardation occurs when the front month silver futures contract commands a price premium to the subsequent months’ contracts. On one hand, this situation could actually provide larger traders who own the physical silver with an opportunity to simultaneously sell it and purchase futures contracts to recover their metal holdings for a net profit. Paper and Physical Silver Price Backwardation A backwardation also tends to indicate that industrial and personal silver consumers need the metal more now, rather than later. When a backwardation in the silver market is driven by perception on The Street, this phenomenon would actually reveal the true fate of larger traders with insufficient physical silver supplies available to profit from this apparently easy money. Nevertheless, the silver futures market ceased being a physical market years ago when the overall short position became dominated by just a few bullion banks. Whether these players control 25% or 50% of the net shorts, this concentration influences the paper price. - excerpt from : http://www.mineweb.com/mineweb/content/en/mineweb-independent-viewpoint?oid=179258&sn=Detail
MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet
Friday, February 22, 2013
Silver’s free fall may be coming to an end
SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) — Silver’s free fall may be coming to an end. After a nearly 9% dive in silver prices this month, investors should be able to breathe a sigh of relief as growth in industrial and investment demand gains pace, and calls of “oversold” conditions and “bargain” prices for the precious metal intensify.
“Silver is grossly oversold at current levels, more so than any time in the past five years,” said James Carrillo, senior portfolio adviser for precious-metals investment firm Swiss America Trading Corp. Silver futures prices SIH3 +0.0035% have lost $2.65 an ounce, or 8.5%, this month, after closing at $28.70 Thursday on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. Year to date, they’ve lost over 5%. That compares with gold’s GCJ3 +0.11% month-to-date loss of around 5% and a nearly 6% decline for the year. “Fundamentally, silver should be rising,” as physical demand remains strong, said Carrillo. “However, the technical side of the market is dictating direction currently.”
- in http://www.marketwatch.com/story/for-silver-being-cheap-is-a-good-thing-2013-02-22
MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet
Wednesday, February 13, 2013
The Global Silver Shortage Of 2013
By Byron King | 02/13/13
Did you hear the U.S. Mint just ran out of silver? In mid-January, the Mint suspended sale of the 2013 run of its popular U.S. “Eagles.”
The new silver Eagles sold out fast. They went on sale, and buyers bought everything they could lay hands on. Within days, the shelves at the Mint were stripped bare. It’s not the first time that this has happened.
The Mint quickly announced that it’s obtaining new supplies of silver. It will stamp out more Eagle coins. There will be more to buy, or so they say. And yet… people in the silver markets are squirming — and I’ll tell you more about that, below.
Right now, silver sells for $31.50 per ounce, give or take. That’s if you can find somebody to sell you their silver at that price. If you’re a normal, everyday retail buyer, good luck trying.
Let’s say you want to buy some silver. You call up one of those companies that advertise on the radio and find out that there’s a markup to $40 or more for 1-ounce bullion coins. That’s if they have any to sell to the likes of you. After all, are you a big wheeler-dealer?
If you want the fancy versions of silver coins — “uncirculated” and “proof” specimens — the price is twice (or more) the posting for basic metal.
The bottom line is that silver is hard to get. You have to plan ahead to obtain the metal, and even the U.S. Mint gets its numbers wrong, now and again.
From what I’m seeing — and I’ll explain this, below — one of these days, the Mint might not simply resume sales so quickly. It won’t have the basic metal. And I suspect we’re going to see silver prices move much higher.
The Global Silver Shortage
First, let’s review the global scramble for silver. How much of a problem is it? Well, it’s not just the U.S. Mint that has to worry about supply. Industrial users are in a bind, as well. I mean big, important companies.
Here’s an example. Last summer, I visited a storage vault dug deep into solid rock and buried in the hills north of Zurich, Switzerland. It’s a massive complex, right down the road from a Swiss Army base (and that’s no accident). You can enter this facility only by prior appointment, because the Swiss customs department has to do a background check on you. The Swiss are very thorough, you may have heard.
The vault is constructed with huge steel beams and enclosed by thick, reinforced concrete walls. Accompanied by an armed guard, you have to walk down a long, sloping set of corridors and then take an elevator to get to the deep levels. Heck, it’s like visiting a secure, military command bunker — of which I’ve seen a few in the course of my life’s journey. Finally, after a hike, you arrive at the business end of this facility.
Read more: The Silver Shortage Of 2013 http://dailyreckoning.com/the-silver-shortage-of-2013/#ixzz2KoDeZenx
MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet
Did you hear the U.S. Mint just ran out of silver? In mid-January, the Mint suspended sale of the 2013 run of its popular U.S. “Eagles.”
The new silver Eagles sold out fast. They went on sale, and buyers bought everything they could lay hands on. Within days, the shelves at the Mint were stripped bare. It’s not the first time that this has happened.
The Mint quickly announced that it’s obtaining new supplies of silver. It will stamp out more Eagle coins. There will be more to buy, or so they say. And yet… people in the silver markets are squirming — and I’ll tell you more about that, below.
Right now, silver sells for $31.50 per ounce, give or take. That’s if you can find somebody to sell you their silver at that price. If you’re a normal, everyday retail buyer, good luck trying.
Let’s say you want to buy some silver. You call up one of those companies that advertise on the radio and find out that there’s a markup to $40 or more for 1-ounce bullion coins. That’s if they have any to sell to the likes of you. After all, are you a big wheeler-dealer?
If you want the fancy versions of silver coins — “uncirculated” and “proof” specimens — the price is twice (or more) the posting for basic metal.
The bottom line is that silver is hard to get. You have to plan ahead to obtain the metal, and even the U.S. Mint gets its numbers wrong, now and again.
From what I’m seeing — and I’ll explain this, below — one of these days, the Mint might not simply resume sales so quickly. It won’t have the basic metal. And I suspect we’re going to see silver prices move much higher.
The Global Silver Shortage
First, let’s review the global scramble for silver. How much of a problem is it? Well, it’s not just the U.S. Mint that has to worry about supply. Industrial users are in a bind, as well. I mean big, important companies.
Here’s an example. Last summer, I visited a storage vault dug deep into solid rock and buried in the hills north of Zurich, Switzerland. It’s a massive complex, right down the road from a Swiss Army base (and that’s no accident). You can enter this facility only by prior appointment, because the Swiss customs department has to do a background check on you. The Swiss are very thorough, you may have heard.
The vault is constructed with huge steel beams and enclosed by thick, reinforced concrete walls. Accompanied by an armed guard, you have to walk down a long, sloping set of corridors and then take an elevator to get to the deep levels. Heck, it’s like visiting a secure, military command bunker — of which I’ve seen a few in the course of my life’s journey. Finally, after a hike, you arrive at the business end of this facility.
Read more: The Silver Shortage Of 2013 http://dailyreckoning.com/the-silver-shortage-of-2013/#ixzz2KoDeZenx
MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet
Wednesday, February 6, 2013
Silver Shortage? / Money Printing Around The Globe! .
Following the news last week that the U.S. Mint had run out of its initial production of 2013 Silver Eagles, reports were circulating on industry blogs that the Royal Canadian Mint was next-in-line, and suffering a silver shortage.
In other news the FED balance sheet crosses 3 Trillion as they print $85 billion per month. Not only is the fed printing but countries across the globe are expanding their currency supplies.
Royal Canadian Mint News: http://www.forbes.com/sites/kitconews/2013/01/25/royal-canadian-mint-managing...
Fed Balance Sheet News: http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2013/01/24/feds-balance-sheet-tops-3-trillion-...
MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet
Monday, February 4, 2013
Silver Shortage & Manipulation Explained by Bill Murphy
Bill Murphy's Interview about the metals market and what is happening today. We discuss, Germany's Gold, Comex, JP Morgan, China, manipulation and the future prices of Gold and Silver.
MAKE SURE YOU GET PHYSICAL SILVER IN YOUR OWN POSSESSION. Don't Buy SLV, or Futures or Pooled Accounts or any other BS paper silver product .Remember anything on paper is worth the paper it is written on. Go Long Stay long the bull market have even started yet
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